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Indian bonds seen consolidating in range

Indian government bonds are expected to trade in a narrow range as focus shifts to the RBI's monetary policy decision on Friday.

John Smith
ByJohn Smith- Senior Editor
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Indian government bonds are likely to open the week on a quiet note, as focus turns to the central bank's Friday monetary policy decision.

Yield on the benchmark 6.48% 2035 note is expected to trade in the 6.97% to 7.02% range.

"If we do not see any major moves in global factors, the action will be dominated by the expectations built up in the run up to the monetary policy," a trader said.

Nearly 80% of economists polled expect the repo rate to remain unchanged, while a minority including Standard Chartered and Capital Economics call for a rate hike.

The central bank is also expected to update its inflation and growth forecasts amid spillover from the Middle East war.

Crude oil prices and a weakening rupee have raised the odds of an earlier-than-expected rate hike.

India's overnight index swap rates rose in May, with the one-year swap ending at 6.0950% and the two-year at 6.29%.

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Indian bonds seen consolidating in range | Bond.az