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AI Boom Drives Record Memory-Chip Profits

AI boom drives record memory-chip profits, but cyclical risks loom. Read more on Bond.az.

Sebastian Young
BySebastian Young- Senior Editor
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Bond.az -- Major memory-chip manufacturers are experiencing an unprecedented surge in profitability driven by runaway artificial intelligence demand, according to a Wall Street Journal report published on Saturday.

Micron Technology Inc, which recorded its largest-ever corporate loss just three years ago, is currently forecast to become the sixth-most profitable stock in the United States. The company’s projected earnings over the next 12 months are estimated at just under $100 billion.

The rapid financial turnaround extends across the broader memory sector, positioning rivals Samsung Electronics Co Ltd and SK Hynix Inc in the sweet spot of the global semiconductor manufacturing cycle.

Surging prices and profits for high-bandwidth memory (HBM) chips have prompted Wall Street analysts to repeatedly upgrade the broader S&P 500 earnings outlook.

However, the memory-chip industry remains structurally bound to heavy capital expenditure cycles. High fixed operational costs encourage producers to run facilities at maximum capacity, historically creating excess supply that pushes down prices and plunges profits, as seen during the 2022–2023 downturn.

Current high profitability has already triggered aggressive expansions, with Micron committing $150 billion to build or expand manufacturing facilities across New York, Idaho, and Virginia alongside new infrastructure rollouts in South Korea.

Despite the stock trading at under 10 times forward earnings, making it the third-cheapest stock in the S&P 500, historical cycles show that low valuations frequently occur at the absolute peak of the chip cycle.

Technological advancements could make large language models far more efficient, structurally reducing the raw volume of physical memory required by data centers. Further expanding sector capacity, recent hardware entrant Cerebras Systems Inc raised $5.55 billion in its initial public offering on Thursday.

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AI Boom Drives Record Memory-Chip Profits | Bond.az