Average global temperatures are forecast to reach near-record levels in the next five years, according to a report by the UN weather agency and the UK's Met Office.
Arctic temperatures are expected to warm faster than other regions. 2024 is currently the warmest year on record, but a new record is likely between 2026 and 2030.
The report says global mean near-surface temperatures will range between 1.3°C and 1.9°C above pre-industrial levels. Temporary exceedance of the 1.5°C Paris Agreement threshold is possible but does not mean failure.
Arctic winter temperatures will rise more than 3.5 times the global average, leading to more severe weather events. Wetter conditions are expected in the northern hemisphere, while the Amazon may face drought.
